Valero Energy Valuation
| VLO Stock | USD 199.55 2.64 1.34% |
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Valero Energy has a current Real Value of $175.91 per share. The regular price of the company is $199.55. Our model measures the value of Valero Energy from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.05 %, shares outstanding of 305.01 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0828 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Valero Energy's valuation include:
Price Book 2.5648 | Enterprise Value | Enterprise Value Ebitda 16.3621 | Price Sales 0.5163 | Forward PE 16.3132 |
Overvalued
Today
Please note that Valero Energy's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Valero Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Valero Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Valero Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Valero Stock. However, Valero Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 199.55 | Real 175.91 | Target 198.22 | Hype 197.23 |
The intrinsic value of Valero Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Valero Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Valero Energy helps investors to forecast how Valero stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Valero Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Valero Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Valero Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Valero Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Valero Energy's closest peers.
Valero Energy Cash |
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Valero Revenue by Product
Valero Energy Total Value Analysis
Valero Energy is at this time expected to have company total value of 58.27 B with market capitalization of 63.35 B, debt of 10.62 B, and cash on hands of 4.66 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Valero Energy fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company| Takeover Price | Market Cap | Debt Obligations | Cash |
58.27 B | 63.35 B | 10.62 B | 4.66 B |
Valero Energy Investor Information
About 86.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Valero Energy was at this time reported as 77.88. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.73. Valero Energy last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. The entity had 1094:1000 split on the 2nd of May 2013. Based on the key measurements obtained from Valero Energy's financial statements, Valero Energy may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter.| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
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| Total Cash From Operating Activities | 8.1 B | 7.7 B |
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Valero Energy Asset Utilization
The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Valero Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 258.27 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $2.58 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Valero Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.Valero Energy Profitability Analysis
Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Valero Energy's financial statements, Valero Energy is yielding more profit at the present time then in previous quarter. It has a moderate likelihood of reporting better profitability numbers in March. Profitability indicators assess Valero Energy's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.Net Income | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 1.1 B | Current Value 1.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 839.2 M |
For Valero Energy profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Valero Energy to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Valero Energy utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Valero Energy's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Valero Energy over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
Valero Energy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
The next projected EPS of Valero Energy is estimated to be 1.63 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.884 to a high of 2.707. Valero Energy's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 7.73. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Valero Energy is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Valero Energy Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Valero Energy's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Valero Energy is estimated to be 1.63 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.884 to a high of 2.707. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Valero Energy is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
0.88 Lowest | Expected EPS | 2.71 Highest |
Valero Energy Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Valero Energy's value are higher than the current market price of the Valero Energy stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Valero Energy is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Valero Energy's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 19 | 80.33% | 3.82 | 1.63 | 7.73 |
Valero Energy Ownership Allocation
Valero Energy shows a total of 305.01 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Valero Energy outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional investors are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to take positions in Valero Energy to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutions are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Valero Energy. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Valero Energy as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that on June 14, 2025, Senator John Boozman of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Valero Energy's common stock.Valero Energy Profitability Analysis
The company reported the last year's revenue of 122.69 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.77 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.3 B.Valero Energy Past Distributions to stockholders
About Valero Energy Valuation
We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valero Energy. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Valero Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Valero Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Valero Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Valero Energy. We calculate exposure to Valero Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Valero Energy's related companies.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Gross Profit | 5.4 B | 4 B | |
| Pretax Profit Margin | 0.02 | 0.04 | |
| Operating Profit Margin | 0.04 | 0.05 | |
| Net Profit Margin | 0.02 | 0.03 | |
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.04 | 0.09 |
A single share of Valero Energy represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Valero, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.
Valero Energy Dividends Analysis For Valuation
As of the 13th of February 2026, Dividends Paid is likely to grow to about 1.7 B. Also, Dividend Yield is likely to grow to 0.03. At this time, Valero Energy's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 13th of February 2026, Earnings Yield is likely to grow to 0.06, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 26.6 B.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | 1.7 B | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Dividend Payout Ratio | 0.59 | 0.62 | |
| Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio | 2.63 | 2.76 |
There are various types of dividends Valero Energy can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Valero shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Valero Energy directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Valero pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Valero Energy by the value of the dividends paid out.
Valero Energy Growth Indicators
Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 309 M | |
| Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 3.196 | |
| Forward Price Earnings | 16.3132 |
Valero Energy Current Valuation Indicators
Valero Energy's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Valero Energy's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Valero Energy, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Valero Energy's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Valero Energy's worth.When determining whether Valero Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Valero Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Valero Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Valero Energy Stock: Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Valero Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. To learn how to invest in Valero Stock, please use our How to Invest in Valero Energy guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Valero diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valero Energy. If investors know Valero will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Valero Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.196 | Dividend Share 4.52 | Earnings Share 7.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of Valero Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Valero that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Valero Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Valero Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Valero Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Valero Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valero Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valero Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Valero Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.